Sami Moubayed, Iraq Loses Its Voice of Reason

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Mr. Daniel Larison writes in response to the Daily Telegraph's article:

It’s over. Sistani’s influence was one of the last things keeping this from becoming a complete nightmare. If anyone needed a clear sign that now was the time for us to get out, this is it.

So how close is Iraq to being plunged into a civil war? And is there any way for the U.S. to negotiate some sort of arrangement that would lead to a relative peaceful break-up of the country? (Or would that be impossible, given the parties involved, Sunnis, Shia, and Kurds? And what role does oil have to play in keeping the country "unified" and under the control of a central government? That is, would countries have the same level of access to the oil in the region if the country were divided?

The ayatollah has his own website, which is rather sophisticated. How much infrastructure is needed to make this possible, and who are the people who can access this website? (How many Iraqis can? Or is it necessary for them to--do they have more direct links to the ayatollah and his teachings?)