Dreher is wrong in Big Shorts & Failed States: "Civilizational order is a fragile, fragile thing."
It is not "civilization order" that is fragile, but the current political and economic system which is fragile, and because it has deliberately chosen to do things that increase fragility for the benefit of a few at the expense of the majority.
He really should read Taleb on fragility but it might not be helpful for him.
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